Sunday 31 December 2017

Weekly Commodity News Letter


COMMODITY OUTLOOK 

Gold:-

Gold futures rose in American trade away from July 20 lows for the tenth session out of 12 marking the highest since November 27 as the dollar index slipped to the second lowest in December following earlier data from the US the world's largest economy. Earlier US data showed unemployment claims steadied at 245 thousand in the week ending December 23, same as before and missing expectations of a dip to 240K while the goods trade deficit rose in November to $69.7 billion from $68.1 billion in October. The preliminary reading for wholesale inventories rose 0.7% in November compared to expectations of a 0.4% and up from 0.5% in October, while the Chicago PMI widened to 67.6 in December from 63.9 in November beating expectations of a dip to 62.2. Global markets were closed on Monday for Christmas while last week, President Donald Trump signed into law the $1.5 trillion tax reform bill, which cuts the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%.Gold holdings at the SPDR Trust the world's largest gold-backed investment fund steadied yesterday at 837.5 tonnes with no change. 

Silver:-
Silver futures rose nearly one percent in American trade to the highest since November 27 as the dollar index hit the lowest since September 22 amid a lack of data from the US and ahead of important Chinese data on Sunday. Markets await important Chinese data on Sunday with the manufacturing PMI expected to drip to 51.6 for December while the Services PMI is forecast to steady at 54.8 with no change. Silver is heading for the longest daily winning streak in two months after rising for the fifth straight session and the longest weekly winning streak in four months as the dollar goes for the worst yearly performance since 2007. Global markets were closed on Monday for Christmas while last week President Donald Trump signed into law the $1.5 trillion tax reform bill which cuts the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%.  

Crude:-
Oil prices carried on their gains in American trade for the second session, with US crude trading above $60 for the first time since 2015 after US crude stocks hit two-year lows while US output fell for the first time since mid-October with prices heading for the second yearly profit in a row. OPEC decided in the November 30 meeting to extend the global output deal by nine more months until the end of 2019 which states a global cut of 1.8 million bpd in cooperation with Russia and other independent producers. Goldman Sachs said that OPEC has shown strong commitment to cut global inventories based on market data which is expected to limit global oversupply risks. The investment bank raised US crude prices forecasts from $55 to $57.5 a barrel for 2018 and to $62 from $58 for Brent. Bank of America Merrill Lynch raised Brent forecasts to $70 by mid-2018 due to strong global demand and a drop in supplies.

Copper:-
Copper futures rose nearly one percent in American trade to the highest since January 23, 2014, as the dollar index plumbed the second lowest this month, following earlier data from the US the world's largest economy. Earlier US data showed unemployment claims steadied at 245 thousand in the week ending December 23 same as before and missing expectations of a dip to 240K, while the goods trade deficit rose in November to $69.7 billion from $68.1 billion in October. The preliminary reading for wholesale inventories rose 0.7% in November compared to expectations of a 0.4%, and up from 0.5% in October. 

Lead:-
Lead prices edged up by 0.18 per cent to Rs 163.10 per kg in futures trade today as participants built up fresh positions after demand from consuming industries in the spot market picked up. At Multi Commodity Exchange lead for delivery in September went higher by 30 paisa or 0.18 per cent to Rs 163.10 per kg in a business turnover of 631 lots.
Similarly the metal for delivery in September contracts traded higher by 25 paisa or 0.15 per cent to Rs 162.90 per kg in 617 lots. Analysts attributed the rise in lead futures to fresh positions from traders after uptick in demand from battery makers in the spot market. 

Aluminum:-
The Aluminium is in perfect uptrend .Currently Aluminium is in strong uptrend and the trend is supported with good volume the open interest is not increasing with trend. In last few days lot of positive accumulation happened in the Aluminium Cautious point is buying at higher levels seems decreasing. The oscillator is showing buy signal for short term the current position is buy .Support for the Aluminium is 136. Immediate resistance for Aluminium is 147.

Zinc: -
The Zinc is in perfect uptrend .Currently Zinc is in strong uptrend and the trend is supported with good volume the open interest is not increasing with trend. Cautious point is buying at higher levels seems decreasing. The oscillator is showing buy signal for short term the current position is buy .Support for the Zinc is 202. Immediate resistance for Zinc is 214

Commodity  Trends
GOLD
29450
28450
SILVER
39530
37480
CRUDE
3915
3580
COPPER
471
450
LEAD
163
156
ALUMINIUM
147
136
Zinc
214
202





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